Read
No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
VS
BAUTISTA
SUBMISSION GRAPPLER
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
SandhagenBautista
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
SandhagenBautista
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
SandhagenBautista
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Sandhagen
Method data available for 18 of 19 recorded wins · 61% finish rate · 1.6 avg round
Bautista
56% finish rate · 1.5 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
74%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
63%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS BAUTISTA
6%94%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Sandhagen-148→+1600
Bautista+124→-4800
SHARP move · toward Bautista
The line moved toward Bautista since opening.
Best Available Price
