Read
No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
Saint DenisPimblett
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
Saint DenisPimblett
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Saint DenisPimblett
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Saint Denis
100% finish rate · 1.6 avg round
Pimblett
75% finish rate · 1.3 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
64%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
50%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS DENIS
54%46%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Denis-155→-126
Pimblett+130→+108
SHARP move · toward Pimblett
The line moved toward Pimblett since opening.
Best Available Price
