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No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
BASHARAT
SUBMISSION GRAPPLER
VS
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
BasharatGarza
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
BasharatGarza
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Basharat
44% finish rate · 1.9 avg round
Garza
67% finish rate · 1.5 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
74%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
63%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS BASHARAT
50%50%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Basharat-650→-115
Garza+475→-115
SHARP move · toward Garza
The line moved toward Garza since opening.
Best Available Price
