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No forecast published for this fight yet.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
STRIKING
Volume, accuracy, defense, and ability to land cleanly.
CortezCong
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Takedowns, takedown defense, control, and top-game ability.
CortezCong
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
CortezCong
HOW THEY USUALLY WIN
Verified win-method counts and finish rate
KO/TKOSubmissionDecision
Cortez
17% finish rate · 1.5 avg round
Cong
44% finish rate · 1.3 avg round
Fight Shape
This fight vs typical
HISTORICAL UFC 3-ROUND BASELINE
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
79%typical
Past 2.5 rounds
65%typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Market
MARKET FAVORS CONG
2%98%
Normalized to remove bookmaker margin.
Line Movement
Cortez+105→+4000
Cong-125→-100000
SHARP move · toward Cong
The line moved toward Cong since opening.
Best Available Price
