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Khamzat Chimaev vs Sean Strickland Overview

Chimaev vs. Strickland
Middleweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastChimaev72%STRONG FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Chimaev
VS
Strickland
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Chimaev at 72%.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO39%
Submission14%
Decision47%

Historical UFC middleweight · 5-round fights · 37 fights · past 5 years · historical context, not a second forecast

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
ChimaevMetricStrickland
32Age35
6′2″Height6′1″
75″Reach76″
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
PendingWeigh-inPending

Populates after official weigh-ins.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

4.04Sig. strikes / min6.04
2.32Absorbed / minLower is better4.57
54%Accuracy42%
52%Defense60%
Wrestling & Control
5.32Takedown avg.0.66
55%Takedown accuracy64%
85%Takedown defense69%
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Chimaev

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LSean StricklandR5 · S-DEC
  2. WDricus Du PlessisR5 · Decision
  3. WRobert WhittakerR1 · Submission
  4. WKamaru UsmanR3 · Decision
  5. WSean StricklandDecision

Strickland

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WKhamzat ChimaevR5 · S-DEC
  2. WAnthony HernandezR3 · KO/TKO
  3. LDricus Du PlessisR5 · U-DEC
  4. WPaulo CostaR5 · Decision
  5. LDricus Du PlessisR5 · Decision

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Chimaev
Checking history…
Strickland
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Strickland won the prior meeting by S-DEC.

Kamaru Usman: Chimaev win, Strickland loss.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape

Historical UFC middleweight · 5-round fights · 37 fights · past 5 years

In these past fights, decision was the most common ending (47%). Historical context for this matchup, not a prediction.

How Long Comparable Fights Last
Past 1.5 rounds
81%Typical
Past 2.5 rounds
64%Typical
Full distance
47%Typical

Historical context — not a second forecast.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Chimaev's power meets a proven weakness

40% of Chimaev's wins come by knockout, and Strickland has been stopped by strikes 2 times. That is the clearest route to an early night.

Market

Odds over time

Current moneyline is not available for this fight.

A comparable second price has not been captured yet.