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UFC 327
Middleweight · Main Card
Gastelum
›
20–11–0 · 1 NC
L
W
L
W
L
VS
›
Luque
24–13–1
W
L
L
W
L
Gastelum
vs
Luque
Overview
Matchup
Fight Shape
Market
Overview
No forecast published for this fight yet.
How This Fight Ends
Method forecast not available for this fight yet.
Your pick
Gastelum
Luque
Optional prop picks
Track your own calls
Method
KO/TKO
Submission
Decision
Fight length · 1.5 rounds
Over 1.5 rounds
Under 1.5 rounds
Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.
Matchup
RECENT OPPONENT LEVEL
Quality of each fighter's recent competition.
—
—
STRIKING ACCURACY & DEFENSE
Equal-weight comparison of striking accuracy and striking defense.
Gastelum
Luque
Even
WRESTLING & CONTROL
Comparison based on takedown accuracy and takedown defense.
Gastelum
Luque
Slight edge: Luque
FINISH THREAT
Historical knockout and submission finishing ability.
Gastelum
Luque
Moderate edge: Luque
TALE OF THE TAPE
STRIKING STATS
TAKEDOWN STATS
RECENT FIGHT HISTORY
Last five verified results per fighter
HISTORY & COMMON OPPONENTS
Fight Shape
Historical UFC middleweight · 3-round fights · 303 fights · past 5 years
How fights like this one have historically played out.
How long comparable fights last
Past 1.5 rounds
60%
typical
Past 2.5 rounds
42%
typical
Full distance
38%
typical
Historical context — not a second forecast.
Why this fight may differ
Market
MARKET FAVORS
LUQUE
Gastelum
+130
DraftKings
Luque
-155
DraftKings
42%
58%
Normalized market estimate with the bookmaker margin removed. It is context, not a true probability or a recommendation.
Line Movement
Gastelum
+135
→
+130
Luque
-165
→
-155
MINIMAL move · toward Gastelum
The line has barely moved since opening.
Current Price
Gastelum
+130
DraftKings · Apr 13, 12:09 AM UTC
Luque
-155
DraftKings · Apr 13, 12:09 AM UTC
Only one book has priced this fight so far — no comparison yet.
