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Liz Carmouche vs Jena Bishop Overview

Chicago 2
Women's Flyweight · 5 rounds · Main Card
FightIQ forecastCarmouche73%STRONG FAVORITE
Your pick
Picks are closed · fight complete
Carmouche
VS
Bishop
OverviewMatchupFight ShapeMarket
FightIQ Read

FightIQ favors Carmouche at 73%. Liz Carmouche stopped Jena Bishop with punches in their last meeting and recently won by guillotine, but Bishop has since won by rear-naked choke and armbar, giving her a route if she controls the ground.

How This Fight Ends
KO/TKO22%
Submission18%
Decision60%

FightIQ model whole-fight probabilities • not fighter-specific

Your prop picksMethod and fight length
Method
Fight length · 2.5 rounds

Personal picks lock at fight start. Exact cutoff is a push.

Matchup

Tale of the Tape
CarmoucheMetricBishop
42Age40
5′6″Height5′4″
66″Reach66″
OrthodoxStanceOrthodox
125 lbsWeigh-in124.6 lbs

Official weigh-in results.

Striking & Defense

Indicator moves from even toward the fighter with the advantage.

2.78Sig. strikes / min—
2.51Absorbed / minLower is better—
54%Accuracy—
61%Defense—
Wrestling & Control
2.57Takedown avg.—
51%Takedown accuracy—
65%Takedown defense—
Style History

Style history is temporarily unavailable.

Recent Form

Carmouche

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. LJena BishopR5 · Decision
  2. WViviane AraujoR2 · SUB
  3. WJena BishopR3 · KO/TKO
  4. WElora DanaR3 · Decision
  5. WIlara JoanneR1 · KO/TKO

Bishop

5 recorded bouts shown

  1. WLiz CarmoucheR5 · Decision
  2. WAriane LipskiR1 · SUB
  3. WBorena TsertsvadzeR1 · SUB
  4. LLiz CarmoucheR3 · KO/TKO
  5. WEkaterina ShakalovaSUB

Strength of Schedule

Longer bar means higher opponent quality.

Carmouche
Checking history…
Bishop
Checking history…
More Matchup Detail
History & Common OpponentsShared opponents and prior meetings

Series: Carmouche 1–0 Bishop.

2025-08-15: Carmouche won · KO/TKO · R3.

Ilara Joanne: Carmouche win, Bishop win.

Taila Santos: Carmouche loss, Bishop loss.

Fight Shape

Fight Shape
LIKELY TO GO THE DISTANCE.

This projects to reach the scorecards more often than it ends early.

Why this fight may differMatchup-specific context
Carmouche's power meets a proven weakness

42% of Carmouche's wins come by knockout, and Bishop has been stopped by strikes 2 times. That is the clearest route to an early night.

Bishop's grappling meets a proven weakness

58% of Bishop's wins come by submission, and Carmouche has tapped 2 times. One bad scramble decides it.

Both are used to the scorecards

Carmouche has 8 decision wins and Bishop has 5. Neither needs a finish to win a fight.

Market

Odds Over Time
CarmoucheBishop
At event start-405+320
Open-350+255
Event-time · FanDuel
Open · FanDuel · Oct 14, 5:00 PM UTC
MovementThe market moved about 3.7 percentage points toward Carmouche.Market moved about 3.7 points toward Carmouche.18 comparable observations · FanDuel
Tracked line · FanDuel
First capturedLatest capturedCarmouche-350-405Bishop+255+320
Oct 14, 5pm UTC → Oct 16, 10pm UTC17 observations
CarmoucheBishop
-405+320Oct 14, 5pmOct 16, 10pm
Oct 16, 10pm UTCCarmouche -405Bishop +320
Tap or move across the chart to inspect a capture.
FightIQ & market comparison
WinnerCarmouche
FightIQ73%Market77%

The market favors Carmouche more strongly than FightIQ does.

How market probabilities are calculated

Calculated from both fighters’ prices after accounting for the sportsbook’s margin.

Compare sportsbook prices3 sportsbooks
SportsbookCarmoucheBishop
FanDuel-405+320
BetMGM-350+275
BetOnline-410+310